I just wanted to take a moment to point out that quite a few commentators have projected a bump in the polls in Kerry's favor after the convention.
Apparently it's traditional; both parties' candidates each get a bump after their respective conventions which last a few weeks, then evaporate.
Why am I saying this? Because I anticipate a great deal of joy among the Kerryites when the post-convention poll results come out. "Oh, look, Kerry is killing Bush in the polls! We're a shoo-in!"
Um, no. Bush will see the same sort of bump/evaporate after the GOP convention. It's nothing to get excited about. Even Republican National Comittee Chairman Gillespe has predicted an 8-12 point increase for Kerry after the election.
Consider it the poll equivalent of Indian Summer...